Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Why I Like predict forex

Forex Trading: Good Opportunity Or Scam?


Until recently, the forex market or foregn currency exchange market wasn't for the average trader or individual speculator. With the large minimum transaction sizes and often-stringent financial requirements, banks, hedge funds, major currency dealers and the occasional high net-worth individual speculator were the principal participants. These large traders were able to take advantage of the many benefits offered by the forex market vs. other markets, including the fantastic liquidity and strong trending nature of the world's primary currency exchange rates.

Fortunately, thanks to new legislation written in the late 1990?s, forex brokerages have opened up to the general public and offer trading opportunities for anyone who has an interest in trading currencies for profit. In fact, many brokers allow traders to open and trade currency with as little as $250 dollars in an account.

Regrettably, all of these new currency trading opportunities have created a lot of hype around the forex. Some of this hype includes magic trading formulas, ?easy? indicators and expert trend predictors. There are now countless currency brokerages enticing potential traders to open accounts and start trading today. Many people have started to get the feeling that trading currency is more of a scam then anything else. We strongly disagree with this notion and are certain that the forex market has much to offer investors. However, before your take you paycheck and head down to the nearest brokerage to open your forex account, may we make some important suggestions before you enter the currency market?

First, there are thousands of websites with information, terminology, trading strategies and more. We recommend researching several of them as you begin to explore the basics of what the forex is. Brokers often will offer information about the forex, but realize that they are also trying to get you to open an account. Aside from brokerage sites, there are several informational sites and a few forex education companies on the market that offer good information without the pressure of signing up for a ?live? trading account.

Second, read some books. Most of the professional forex traders operate using a combination of Japanese candlestick charts and other complex indicators to determine the direction of a particular currency pair. Find books about technical analysis trading, candlestick charts and other methodological indicators. Remember that when you are buying currency it is like buying a stock in a nation or country. Learn about different countries economic announcements, interest reports, and job indicators. These are highly relevant factors that help indicate a currencies direction.

At this point, it may be time for you to open a demo account with the broker of your choice. This will help you get familiar with trading platforms and basic charts. Practice making some ?demo trades?. Even after doing some basic homework you will find that you fell like you areflying by the seat of your pants? during your trades. At this humbling point in your new forex trading career you realize its time to take a forex training course.

There are many forex training courses on the market today. They come in many forms including seminars, home study courses, interactive online courses, and class room education. Fxcenter.com, one such forex training course has found that the best education courses use all of these methods in their training regime. They feel that a program should include a minimum of 20 hours of home study to teach the basic principles of forex trading. Next a student would need to observe the market in action, without necessarily making trades. To do this, an interactive online class is necessary to help you tie in all the information and begin to apply it to live market conditions. Onsite classes then further reiterate the fundamentals of trading forex and help the student discover a trading strategy that fits his or her personality, financial status and risk tolerance. Finally, working with a highly skilled forex mentor, again during live market sessions, is critical to help the student understand the psychological part of trading. These mentors would also help students create an advanced trading system and analyze the market minute by minute.

Most successful traders have spent years developing good trading habits and learning the hard way how to take advantage of currency volatility. We strongly recommend you follow these steps as you begin to investigate investment opportunities in the forex market.


About the Author:

For more information on forex training and how you can get ahead into todays market please visit our site. Get some forex education and take your skills to the next level!





What Is Online FOREX Currency Trading?


For the past 10 years, currency trading has grown dramatically. This has resulted in many companies setting up online currency trading operations. Forex, also known as the "Foreign Exchange" is used by all these companies. They offer all their customers a secure and safe place to conduct online currency trades.

When you wish to trade in the Forex market, you will have numerous companies to select from. All of them will supply you with various resources and tools. Almost all of them will provide you with real time market prices. They receive this information from the multi-sources inter-bank prices feed of the Forex. As a result, you will be able to make better trading decisions from the timely and accurate information. Unlike other markets, you will not find any re-quotes or time-delays which are frequently apparent in other markets. With these timely information on market prices, you can then use the Internet to trade directly.

Your trades are executed almost immediately when you participate in the Forex online currency trading. In fact, the currency trades are done in a fraction of a second on average. The transactions are executed at a very high speed.

When you are buying or selling in the Forex market, you?ll have 15 unique currencies available for you to trade in. This will provide you with many different options which you can subsequently formulate for many different potential strategies. Since the Forex is accessible to the public since 1995, we are looking at a relatively young market. But as it ages, it is very probable that the number of available currencies will continue to grow. With the available options expanding, you can also expect the number of people trading in this market to expand making it easier for you to execute a trade.

You should make sure that you are well equipped if you want to trade in Forex. It is important to deal with companies that will provide you with the right tools and resources. You should find Forex companies with the ability to provide you with timely news and the latest updates on the currency situation so that you will be properly informed and be aware of what is happening currently. You must research adequately into what online currency trading is all about especially if you are new to online currency trading. Once you are equipped with the right knowledge, you can then enter into the world of online currency trading with confidence, knowing that the Forex market is your number one option to earning a good profit on your investment.

Need more information? Please visit my Forex Trading Guide for more articles.



"How to Trade in Forex"



Biggest market on planet earth, Forex is short for Foreign Exchange, sometimes simply called FX. In excess of two trillion dollars is traded in Forex every single day. Forex is the most liquid and largest market in the world. Formerly cornered by the major banking institutions, large speculators, and major foreign-currency dealers, it is now open to most (even small) investors.


A small amount of capital can now leverage very large positions on the Foreign Exchange market. For instance, with 100:1 leverage, just making a $1000 investment can leverage $100,000. There is enormous potential gain with this kind of leverage, when you have learned "How to Trade in Forex".


Where does this Forex trading take place? Thousands of locations all over the world, at currrency exchanges, on telephones, and computer terminals. Forex trading can be done right on your personal PC. There is risk involved, as with any business venture. But your losses can be way minimized. And the profits or gains can be absolutely staggering.


As opposed to futures, stocks, and commodities, Forex is a Foreign Exchange of 5 major currencies, the U.S. Dollar, Brittish Pound, Swiss Franc, the Japanese Yen, and also Eurocurrency. In a nutshell, you're basically buying one currency in anticipation or indication(s) that it will gain in value compared to another currency.


The volatility of the huge Forex markets is influenced largely by the vloatility throughout the world. Politcal instability, the rise and fall of governments, natural disasters, and changes in international trade are just some factors in fluctuations of the Foreign Exchange. Fluctuations that result in enormous, usually fast profits for traders.


So, how does one learn "How to Trade in Forex"? There's no better teacher than a seasoned veteran. There are many of these on the internet with various programs, methods and techniques. Trading Forex isn't "rocket science", though many marketers make it sound that way. It can be very simple. Keep it that way and watch for a few key things.


Important Forex Trading Tips and Recommendations


* Learn from a trader who's traded for many years, is currently trading, and specializes in teaching others Forex Trading. Someone with a positive track record, with few - or no losing days. Someone that makes a living trading.


* Learn PDFT - Price Driven Forex Trading. With PDFT you don't trade on emotion, you use only the price of a currency pair and a time element. This might sound crazy until you learn why - but you'll use absolutely no disgression, interpretation, or judgement. These are areas that leave the trading door open to failure. What is the best way to trade?


Mechanical Trading


* 100% mechanical trading, a "trading machine". You don't use any of the trading tools, indicators, pivots, trend lines, etc. Just the price of the currency pair you are trading and a time element. Many new traders become disillusioned when trading is made so over complicated. It doesn't need to be, trading is more profitable if kept simple, mechanical.


* Trading time. Once you know "How to Trade in Forex", strategies can be executed in as little as one minute, some can be completed in just ten seconds! Using special Forex software like forex runner, forex flip & go, and forex trading machine, you'll make "hit and run" trades. 100% objectively you'll identify a trade, enter a buy or sale order, enter a stop loss order and a profit-objective order. If the market goes up or down with Forex, you can make money. No charts, no tools. A currency pair & a time element. That's it!


* Professional traders make incredible profits with large swings in the Foreign Exchange Market. They've also developed incredibly fast, efficient mechanical tools for the average person to do the same, and very quickly. All anyone needs to be successful in Forex Trading is a "Complete Trading Solution".


(You are welcome to use my articles. Please leave all links active, and the author bio box intact in your website or article. Thank you)

About the Author


There simply is no faster legal way on earth to make a solid fortune, than quickly learning "How to Trade in Forex". Using no emotional trading, no discretion, interpretation, or judgement. 100% mechanical, anyone can learn really fast "How to Trade in Forex"

A Great forex broker Resource.

Simulated Forex Trading Uses Simulators As A Guide For Traders (Part I)


There are plenty of people trading in the forex, and why not, there are so many reasons to do it. By trading in the forex demo you are able to start by using a free demo on real time, you have a leverage of 400:1, or another simple reason is just getting into the action and trading with international currency. However, even when you practice in real time testing services and other strategies you can still fail. Using the trading demo may not be enough; the trader must know what he is doing.

There are three things that all forex traders must remember if they are to succeed: practice, reinforcement and repetition. For this you will need to refine your strategies and you will also need skills. Therefore, I recommend that traders include forex simulators in their strategies in order to save money and help themselves start as winners and not as losers.

Compared to a demo that provides functions in real time, forex simulators allow traders to upload, review, and view historical data any time. This way, traders can fast forward and rewind and recognise valuable trading signals. This means that traders can better test their knowledge of the forex and therefore improve their trade and change, so they can stay in the pace of the ever changing conditions found in the forex market.

Forex simulators are an essential tool for traders. Simulators allow a high level of training within a few days of work as traders can pause, rewind, fast forward and play around with whatever knowledge they have acquired. A five-minute timeframe can be set-up to whatever chosen area. Simulators allow you to get snapshots, use any indicators you wish, and even keep journal trades in order to refine strategies.

Register Now at Easy-Forex; it is quick, easy and there is no obligation. You can start trading with a small deposit of $25. Credit Cards are welcome. There are no hidden costs, no software downloads. Click Here to Start Trading Now.



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Making Money In Forex Trading Fact or Fiction?


Find out the real truth about making money in forex trading.

Recently theres been a surge of everyday, average investors choosing to invest the majority of their portfolio in forex trading. If you talk with those people, you'll find many feel making money in forex trading is much easier than using more traditional types of investing.

The process used for making money in forex trading has a different set of strategies, and plan that trading stocks, mutual funds or bonds. The forex market is a little more complicated to learn, but once you understand the forex market and currency exchanges the possibility of making money in forex is good.

Making Money in Forex Trading - The Advantages

There are advantages to the forex market not available when you invest in the stock market realm. First off, industry changes and changes in company profits dont affect the forex market. Bull and bear markets wont cause major fluctuations as in normal stock trading.

Another advantage is the fact forex trading is open twenty-four hours a day, six days a week. Its not like learning about a major industry event in the evening news and not being able to do anything until the market opens on Monday. You can make your trades anytime of the day.

Learning about making money in forex trading has never been easier. Many online brokerage sites offer free information and education about learning how to invest the forex market. You can also train in real-life" trading without using any money. Its the online version of paper-trading. Youll be able to fine-tune your market strategies and analysis before you actually risk any of your own money.

As with any form of investment there is the potential for loss. Setting your stop points and minimizing your loss potential is not at all difficult, once you understand the forex lingo, and how currencies are traded.

Making money in forex trading occurs by buying and selling once currency for another. The trading is done in pairs. Quotes are displayed in the same manner. The money you make is determined by the change in pips.

Simply put forex (foreign exchange) trades are made according to the value of one currency as compared to another. These values of currencies are constantly changing. Quotes on prices are quoted in pips (percentage in point). If a particular currency quote goes higher, it means that currency is stronger. If it goes lower it means the currency weakening.

Learning to identify potential patterns and points of value changes in currencies is the basis for making money in forex trading. Theres lots of online help and education if you have an interest in the forex market. Youll also find you dont have to invest a large amount to begin to learn to trade. Some firms allow opening an account with as little as two hundred dollars. Plus, you get to practice before you make a trade with real money. What better way to learn and earn?



FOREX Market "Stop Hunting" - What is It?


You've probably seen it mentioned in various trading forums. It may have even happened to you a few times. It's enough to make your head explode. What is it? It's called Stop Hunting.

Here's a typical trading situation. You're convinced that the USD/JPY is heading up. You've entered a long position at 123.40 and you've set your stop at 123.05, slightly below an obvious double bottom. You set your initial target at 124.50, giving you more than a 3:1 ratio of reward to risk. Unfortunately, the trade begins to go against you and breaks down through the support. Your stop is hit and you're out of the trade. You're sure glad you had that stop in place! Who knows how far it could drop now that it's broken that support, right?

Wrong. Guess what happens next. You got it...after taking out your stop, the price turns right back around and heads north, just as you originally thought it would. As you watch from the sidelines, the pair moves up past 124.00, then 125.00, and never looks back. Just maddening. You start to think, "If only I had set the stop just a little lower. What lousy luck!" But is this really just a case of bad luck?

Let me relate one of my own recent trading experiences. Based on a statistical trading tool that I use, I went short the AUD/USD at around 0.7530 and placed a stop up at 0.7570 which was above a local top. I was looking for the price to decline to below 0.7300 over the next few weeks. Within a day or so the price spiked up, took out my stop and then moved back down into the consolidation area at around 0.7540. Now, because of this last spike, there were two local highs on the chart near 0.7570. Not to be deterred from my trade, I re-entered my short position in the 0.7530 area, and this time I put my stop at 0.7580, just above the last spike. After all, what were the chances that the price would break through that resistance again? Well as it turned out, that's exactly what happened! The price spiked up and hit my stop again, knocking me out of the trade for a second time. And even more frustrating, as soon as my stop was hit, the price turned right back down again in the direction I had originally anticipated!

Ian Fleming's character, Goldfinger, once said, "Once is happenstance, twice is coincidence, three times is enemy action." (Play James Bond music here...)However, I wasn't actually paranoid enough to think that someone was specifically picking off only my stop orders of course. First of all, my trades were so small that no one would bother trying to pick them off, and secondly I was doing these trades in a practice demo account! But I bet I wasn't the only dunderhead that was putting my stops in that obvious position just above the recent highs. There were probably quite a few buy-stop orders in that price area, and it certainly looked to me like someone was gunning for those stops. This hypothetical someone may have been a stop hunter.

So what's a stop hunter and what's all this stuff about picking off stop orders? A stop hunter is a market player that attempts to trigger the stop orders of other traders for their own benefit. They generally have the capability to move the market by a small degree for a short period. The stop hunter may be a FOREX broker's dealing desk which is trading in competition with its customers or it may simply be a large player in the market; a bank, a hedge fund or whatever.

Stop hunters operate best in an environment where most traders believe that the market is about to move in a certain direction. As traders take positions, the inexperienced ones (like me in the trade above) will place their stops at obvious places in order to cut losses if the price moves in the other direction. The stop hunters know where the amateurs are probably placing these stops, so they try to move the market enough to trigger them. This may allow a stop hunter to enter a trade at a good price before the market begins its move in the direction that everyone expects.

For example in my short trade above, there were a lot of indications that the market was headed down. Stop hunters knew that a lot of traders had taken short positions, and had probably positioned their buy-stops up at the 0.7570 area. So why should these savvy stop hunters enter a short position at 0.7530 when so many willing amateurs were willing to buy from them at 0.7570? So they proceeded to push the price up to 0.7570, and when my buy-stop order was triggered up there, guess who I was buying from? Exactly...the stop hunters who were selling to me at a great price (for them). Now I was out of the market, and they had taken over my short position at a price 40 pips above where I entered it. I had a 40 pip loss, while they entered at a price that was 40 pips better than they otherwise could have. Then, when the market headed down as we all expected it would, the stop hunters were laughing all the way to the bank while I was sitting on the sidelines pulling out what little hair I have left!

Note that a situation in which everyone expected the market to move up would work in just the opposite fashion. The amateurs would have their sell-stops at some obvious point below the market, and the stop hunters would push the market down in order to trigger those sell-stop orders. Then the amateurs would be selling out of their long positions in a panic while the stop hunters were buying from them at great prices in expectation of the coming move north.

The type of stop hunting that I've just described is used in situations where most market participants expect the price to move in a certain direction. In this situation, both the savvy stop hunters and the amateurs have the same market opinion; they are not battling each other in a contest of bulls vs. bears. The stop hunters are just trying to take over the positions of the amateurs at a good price.

There is another situation in which stop hunters try to move the market toward a group of stops in the hope that triggering the stops will push the market further in the same direction, thus triggering even more stops and so forth in a snowball effect. This is how some short term panics and rallies are created. In this case, the stop hunters have taken positions in the opposite direction from the amateurs, and are simply trying to trigger the stops to get the amateurs to panic and keep the ball rolling in that direction. My guess is that this tactic is more prevalent in less liquid markets like stocks and futures as opposed to FOREX.

In my next article, we'll talk about how to place better stops and how to plan a trade to benefit from the stop hunters instead of letting them eat your lunch.

Scott Percival is the Director of Research for the FOREX Statistical Research Center at Market-geeks.com, a site which is devoted to using mathematics and the scientific method to study the behavior of prices in the FOREX market. Mr. Percival has a degree in Civil Engineering from Northeastern University, and has worked as a Registered Representative and trading instructor at Fidelity Investments. He is currently working toward the goal of becoming a full time FOREX trader.

Market-geeks.com

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Forex Strategy: How The MACD Indicator Can Save You Anxiety


The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator can add a degree of certainty to your Forex strategy.

As with any indicator, it is too risky to enter trades on this signal alone. However, as we will see, used with caution on higher time frames, it can help confirm you are going in the right direction and that your trade is higher probability.

First, let?s take MACD apart and describe it?s component parts.

The default MACD on most charting packages sets 2 EMA?s (Exponential Moving Averages) at 26 and 12 days.

This is represented by a colored line (color varies according to charting package) which crosses a different colored 9 EMA often termed the trigger line.

When MACD (the 12/26 EMA) crosses above the trigger line (9 EMA) upward momentum is indicated and vice versa.

A center line, or zero line, often called the water line is also shown in the MACD indicator. When MACD is above the water line an upward trend is indicated, when it is below the water line, a downward trend is indicated.

MACD also includes a histogram, small vertical lines that appear above or below the zero line, not unlike mountains and valleys in appearance.

MACD is a lagging indicator which follows price action.

The histogram is an indicator of MACD. So watching the histogram can give you an early indication of where MACD is going. The height of the histogram can be a good momentum indicator.

How can you use MACD to your advantage?

If you want to be very cautious in your Forex strategy, going only for high probability trades, then pay attention to MACD on the 4 hour and 1 hour charts.

Some traders will only enter a trade when the 4 hour and 1 hour MACD?s are going in the same direction. This will mean a lot less trades but the ones you do take are likely to be profitable. (Agreement of the two MACD?s is used in conjunction with other indicators, not by itself.)

MACD on the 1 hour chart is particularly powerful. If you want to stay out of trouble and avoid trades you might later regret, NEVER trade against the direction of the 1 hour MACD. To do otherwise is not necessarily foolhardy if you know what you are doing.

But for the newer, less experienced trader, only trading long when MACD has crossed up, or short when MACD has crossed down on the hourly chart when your other favorite indicators line up, will make for a higher success rate with your Forex strategy. It will also save you much anxiety!

To see the above information presented graphically, follow the link in the Resource Box.

Michael A. Jones is a writer and webmaster with over 10 years experience who also trades the forex regularly. For screen shots of MACD with explanatory notes go to this page:
www.vitalstop.com/Forex/forex-strategy-macd-indicator.html

Click here for his advice for absolute beginners:
www.vitalstop.com/Forex/learn-to-trade-the-forex.html

Michael has also put together a list of key free resources which he finds invaluable:
www.vitalstop.com/Forex/forex-directory-free-resources.html



Forex Investment - Making The Decision Is The Hardest Part


When investing in the Forex market, making a Forex investment can be the best decision and can definitely earn you the best profits. Because there is very little in the way of barring entrance to the Forex market making a Forex investment is an excellent opportunity. Especially for those individuals who have low investments to start with, this can allow them to gain a large return regardless. Of course it also depends on how well they understand the Forex market in order for them to truly benefit from a Forex investment.

In the past Forex investment was limited to only banks and financial institutions due to large transactions and strict financial requirements. Of course now with online trading widely available making a Forex investment is more readily accessible to individuals as well. This means just about anyone can invest in Forex and actually make money from it.

When making a Forex investment you are allowed to do so either directly or through a Forex broker. Banks and financial institutions now are forced to acknowledge that small and individual investors are involved in the Forex market and therefore have been providing online trading packages to them. A lot of these have high leverage available to clients, which when it involves a Forex investment can lend itself to an environment where high gains are made with comparatively small amounts.

This means that someone who chooses to open a mini account in the Forex market has a great leverage ratio of one hundred to one. This means that a one thousand dollar investment can buy or sell a 'lot' of one hundred thousand dollars in foreign currencies. Most mini accounts can be opened with two hundred and fifty dollars as a minimum Forex investment.

Because of this a huge increase has occurred in the amount of trades currently in the Forex market. This also causes a high liquidity with a daily turnover that has been known to reach two trillion dollars. Yet this has also mad Forex trading a bit more transparent. Making a Forex investment can be done in multiple currencies in multiple markets in real time without any barriers or physical boundaries.

What is very important in making a Forex investment is realizing that the there is an instant nature to the trade and huge amounts being traded every single day. This means that each investor must be very familiar with the way the Forex market works. They also need to have a clear understanding of trading strategy in order to gain the best profits. Those who don't understand this can feel that the Forex market is too risky. So when making a Forex investment, make sure you have someone who thoroughly understands the inner workings and who can handle the risky nature of the Forex market, and you will have a better chance of gaining the best profits.